India’s inflation risks rise on supply-side disruptions, RBI says

A worker climbs down sacks of rice inside a warehouse at a wholesale market in Navi Mumbai, India, January 13, 2026. (Photo: Reuters)

MUMBAI, April 23 (Reuters) – India’s inflation risks have increased, ​driven by supply-side disruptions including ‌the Iran war and weather-related uncertainties, the RBI (Reserve Bank Of India) said ​in its monthly economic ​report released on Thursday.

Here are ⁠the details:

  • If the West ​Asia conflict persists and supply ​chains are not restored early, that may create challenges to the domestic ​economy
  • Strong macro fundamentals should ​help the economy withstand shocks
  • Inflation may ‌have ⁠been contained within the tolerance band, but upside risks have increased, driven by supply-side ​disruptions including ​weather-related ⁠uncertainties
  • Possible second-round effects with the supply shock ​transforming itself into demand ​shock ⁠warrant
  • careful and continuous assessment
  • India’s foreign exchange reserves remain comfortable, ⁠providing ​cover for goods ​imports of around 11 months