Four months in, foreign outflows from Indian shares top last year’s peak

The Israeli and Iranian flags are displayed on a screen at the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) in Mumbai, India, March 2, 2026. (Photo: Reuters)

April 29 (Reuters) – Foreign investors have pulled more than $20 billion out of Indian equities in the first four months of 2026, surpassing last year’s record ​annual exit, as an Iran war-driven spike in oil prices soured sentiment ‌on Asia’s third-largest economy and one of the biggest importers of crude oil.

The bulk of the selling – $19 billion – has come since the Iran war started, data from the National Securities Depository showed. ​Last year, the outflows stood at $18.9 billion.

India, which imports 90% of its ​energy needs and relies heavily on supplies from the Middle East, is ⁠among the most vulnerable to the energy shock, analysts have said.

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Foreign outflows from Indian stocks surpass total sales in 2025 already

“There is a ​greater propensity for markets like India, with a high reliance on oil and food prices, ​to be impacted by the Middle East conflict,” said Lilian Chovin, head of asset allocation at UK-based private bank and wealth management firm Coutts.

Indian equity benchmarks Nifty 50 and Sensex have fallen ​8.2% and 9.8%, respectively, so far this year, underperforming their Asian and emerging-market peers ​while the rupee has fallen to record lows against the U.S. dollar.

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Indian shares underperform Asian and emerging market peers in 2026 so far

Financial shares have borne the ‌brunt ⁠of the selling, with outflows of 799.81 billion rupees ($8.44 billion), followed by information technology stocks that have seen withdrawals of about 220 billion rupees.

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What FPIs bought and sold in Indian equities in 2026 so far

Investor sentiment toward software firms has weakened due to concerns over potential AI-led disruption, which has contributed to the broader ​market derating, Chovin ​said.

Domestic institutional buying has ⁠helped steady markets, with record local purchases of $15.4 billion in March offsetting the highest-ever monthly foreign outflows of $12.7 billion.

While the domestic ​liquidity backstop remains intact, any durable market rally would need ​foreign money ⁠to return, CLSA analysts led by Vikash Kumar Jain said in a note on Wednesday.

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Monthly institutional flows from foreign & domestic investors in Indian stocks

($1 = 94.7900 Indian rupees)

T.K.B. Sen

Journalist, media worker, reporter and analyst